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Stadion Tactical Defensive Fund Commentary April 2019

The 2019 rally continued in April with markets climbing to all-time highs.   As technology remained the top sector on a year-to-date basis, the NASDAQ Composite climbed 4.78%. The tech-focused index outperformed both the S&P 500 Index (+4.05%) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (+2.66%). Following optimistic news from the US-China Trade War negotiations and the world's central banks committing, at least temporarily, to monetary stimulus international markets ended April with positive returns. The international developed market represented by the MSCI EAFE Net Total Return Index rose 2.81%.  Emerging markets represented by the MSCI Emerging Markets Net Total Return Index increased 2.11%. 

The Stadion Tactical Defensive Fund began April with a 100% equity allocation.  The Cyclical Trend Measure and the Dynamic Trend Measure each signaled a favorable market environment for equity securities in their respective models.  The market’s climb to all-time highs in April was supported by a broad market rally, which helped strengthen the underlying technical indicators in both models.  With both measures fully invested in equities for the whole of April and no trades taking place, the Tactical Defensive Fund returned 3.91% for the month and outperformed its benchmark, the Morningstar Moderate Target Risk Index, which returned 1.93%.

The Stadion Tactical Defensive Fund is a conservative equity fund seeking to participate in expanding market cycles and retains the ability to become 100% defensive if conditions deteriorate. Over a full market cycle, the Stadion Tactical Defensive Fund tends to have a conservative profile It combines two elements of trend following:  a focus on longer-term cyclical trends (the core portfolio) and the balance of risk-mitigation and returns-seeking among shorter to intermediate trends (the satellite portfolio).  The goal of these collaborative strategies is capital appreciation as measured across full market cycles.

Currently all of our technical model readings look favorable and the trend in stocks has been very strong.  Tech stock leadership is encouraging as well as this is a good sign of healthy speculation taking place.  Small cap stocks are also performing well so market breadth is supportive.  We know this trend won’t last forever and we will be watching for signs of weakness and increased risk, but for now the trend is our friend and our process is designed to ride the trend as long as it will allow.   

To view the most recent performance for the Stadion Tactical Defensive Fund, click here.

Investments are subject to risk, and any of Stadion’s investment strategies may lose money. The investment strategies presented are not appropriate for every investor and financial advisors should review the terms and conditions and risks involved. Stadion’s actively managed portfolios may underperform during bull markets. Some information contained herein was prepared by or obtained from sources that Stadion believes to be reliable. There is no assurance that any of the target prices or other forward-looking statements mentioned will be attained. Any market prices are only indications of market values and are subject to change.

The S&P 500 Index is the Standard & Poor’s Composite Index of 500 stocks and is a widely recognized, unmanaged index of common stock prices.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 significant stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange.

The NASDAQ Composite is a stock market index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and it is highly followed in the U.S. as an indicator of the performance of stocks of technology companies and growth companies.

The MSCI EAFE Net Total Index (Europe, Australasia, Far East) is an unmanaged free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets, excluding the US & Canada. As a total return index, it tracks the capital gains of a group of stocks over time and assumes reinvestment of any cash distributions.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Net Total Return Index consists of 23 economies including Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, Czech Republic, Egypt, Greece, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Qatar, Russia, South Africa, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey and the United Arab Emirates. The MSCI is a float-adjusted market capitalization index. As a total return index, it tracks the capital gains of a group of stocks over time and assumes reinvestment of any cash distributions.

The Morningstar Target Risk Index family is designed to meet the needs of investors who would like to maintain a target level of equity exposure through a portfolio diversified across equities, bonds and inflation-hedged instruments. The Morningstar Moderate Target Risk Index seeks approximately 60% global equity exposure.

One cannot invest directly in an index.

The Reports’ commentary, analysis, opinions, advice, and recommendations represent the personal and subjective views of the author and are subject to change at any time without notice.

Risks

 There are additional costs and potential risks associated with investing in domestic and international Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Investment in the Fund is subject to investment risks, including, without limitation, market risk, management style risk, risks related to “fund of funds” structure, sector risk, fixed income risk, tracking risk, risks related to ETF net asset value and market price, foreign securities risk, risks related to portfolio turnover and small capitalization companies’ risk. Since each Stadion Fund is a “fund of funds,” an investor will indirectly bear fees and expenses charged by the underlying ETFs and investment companies in which a Stadion Fund invests in addition to a Stadion Fund’s direct fees and expenses. More information about these risks and other risks can be found in the Fund’s prospectus.

Diversification does not eliminate the risk of experiencing investment losses. There are risks associated with the potential investment of the Fund’s assets in fixed income investments, which include credit risk, interest rate risk, and maturity risk among others. These risks could affect the value of investments of the Fund, possibly causing the Fund’s share price and total return to be reduced and fluctuate more than other types of investments. Additional information about fixed income risks can be found in the Fund’s SAI. Investment Objective: Seek long-term capital appreciation.

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An investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the Stadion Funds carefully before investing. The prospectus contains this and other information about the Funds. A copy of the prospectus is available by calling Stadion Funds directly at (866) 383-7636 or Stadion Money Management, LLC., the investment advisor, at (800) 222-7636. The prospectus should be read carefully before investing.

The Stadion Funds are distributed by ALPS Distributors, Inc. An investment in the Funds involves risk, including loss of principal.